Will the announcement of US tariff taxes of tomorrow mark a key “all bad tax news are in” for the stock market?
Could it mark a maximum for safe gold?
The highest 42,800 for the is important but unfortunately …
It is only important for the “price hunters” who only care about the stock market that makes a new high after another.
An increase above Dow 42,800 will not change the horrible overvaluation problem facing the market … and a rally would now worsen the problem.
During the last decades, US recessions have been deflationary. It is more likely that the following is inflationary.
It is overwhest, but in a strong market, it is normal to remain exaggerated for prolonged periods of time.
In addition, take into account the 14,7,7 stochastic oscillator at the bottom of the table. In a strong market, it tends thoroughly around zone 50, instead of the over -sales area in 20 or less. That is what is happening now.
Looking towards the future, the period from May to October is often soft for gold (although with a good summer rally). The market could finally obtain a decent setback at that time, and it is likely to be an important moment to buy, for an absolute barn of a rally that probably leads to $ 4000 for the spring of 2026!
For October of this year, the stagflation will be more in the “headlights” of the conventional money administrator, the basis period of gold stocks and silver bullion versus gold will end … and those items will shoot. It is likely that the stock market has also crashed by then, leaving money administrators with little than buying more than miners.
A look at La Plata. The most likely scenario for Silver is a movement of up to $ 37 for May, a fainting as low as $ 30 in October, and then an increase of $ 50 for the spring of 2026.
For silver insects that buy a setback at $ 30, they can probably earn around 60-70% in just 6 months, and some of the miners could move hundreds of percent higher.
From an Elliott’s wave perspective, it is unlikely that the next setback (expected in May) is the end of the powerful wave C.
Ola D probably begins in May 2026, and when it ends, gold is probably moving to $ 5000- $ 6000 and silver at $ 80- $ 100 in Wave E, which is generally a speculative wave.
The amount of speculation (which could be related to fear) will determine how high the final wave is going. The numbers like $ 10,000 and $ 20,000 are possible … and even when it ends, the transition of Empire of America based on Fiat to China and India oriented to gold will be mostly complete and limit the disadvantage. Gold will probably reach trade at a high price during the next important “bass market”, instead of reducing a lot as it did in 1980 to 2000.
A daily approach in the general scenario is essential for investors, since inflation, tariff taxes, a trevaluated value market that is now on fire, the horror of the debt roof, the transition of the empire and the possible revaluation of gold dominate the panorama of the investment.
Gold is a coin (and it is the best coin). It is a cash form, but most investors do not know this fact. They seek to obtain market profits to accumulate Fiat instead of accumulating gold.
Even if they obtain important market profits, they are fiduciary and over time they become losses against gold. It is very important that all investors have both gold and can.
Western money administrators support the allocation of only 1%-2%of a gold investment portfolio as a “fiduciary coverage”, while in Asia it is 10%-20%… and that does not include all the 22K-24K jewels that citizens accumulate there too.
When Western stock markets fall, investors are ruined because they have little or no gold. With due respect to money administrators and stock market investors, if the Dow falls from 70% -90% in a stanflation -oriented collapse, investors with 1% in gold could have bought a clown suit with their cash.
A 1% allocation to gold, given the transition of the empire and the significant stagflation that is coming … well, it is basically a zero de facto number.
Miners? The GDX (NYSE 🙂 Daily graphic. There has been a lot of turn in the price in recent days.
Why is that? The weekly table. Every time the price reaches a high, volatility increases. Investors tend to want to put operations during these events, but it is generally better to sit down for a few days and let the market really break more or retreate more significantly.
If there is now a setback, the $ 44 area would be an ideal place to buy. If there is a real break, then a setback to $ 46 would provide an optimal entry point. Many analysts are trying to find out if the United States government is far -firing on the new tariffs … but the conclusion is that tariffs are here and come more. The growth is stagnating and the stock market is ridiculously overvalued. All lights are green, for the supreme currency that can only be gold!
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