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The Bitcoin option market indicates extreme fear, but historical patterns show potential for significant rebounds.
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The global economic pressures of the United States commercial tariffs negatively affected the feeling of merchants.
Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $ 113,000 for the first time in more than two weeks, surprising merchants and causing the liquidation of $ 113 million in leverage long positions. The acute decrease followed at the maximum of $ 124,176 all time on Thursday, asking questions about whether the upward market has ended as the macroeconomic environment becomes more uncertain.
SEC research and corporate disappointments of AI
Bitcoin’s pricing accelerated after informing that the United States stock and values commission (SEC) is supposedly investigating the fraud and manipulation of shares in Alt5 Sigma, a company that recently associated with World Liberty Financial of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, in an agreement of $ 1.5 billion.
World Liberty, whose website lists President Donald Trump as “Emeritus co -founder”, raised approximately $ 550 million through two public tokens sales, marketing himself as a Defi and Stablecoin platform. In June, Trump revealed $ 57.4 million of his participation in World Liberty Financial, while Eric Trump is scheduled to join the Alt5 Sigma Board.
Cryptocurrency investors also reacted to a 1.5% drop in NASDAQ 100 after MIT NANDA investigation, based on 150 corporate interviews and 300 public artificial intelligence deployments, discovered that 95% of companies failed to achieve rapid growth in the revenue of AI pilot programs.
US import tariffs and weakening confidence in the Fed
Another factor of risk of impulse was the new import tariffs of 50% of the US. In 407 additional products containing aluminum and steel. Affected articles include everyday goods such as car pieces, plastics and specialized chemicals, leading economists to generate concerns about supply chain interruptions and high consumers prices.
UBS Investment Bank raised its gold prognosis at $ 3,700 in September 2026, according to CNBC. UBS strategists expect the price of gold to recover from economic growth below the trend, the flexibility of the federal reserve policy and a weaker dollar. Investor concerns about the US fiscal deficit and questions about the independence of the Fed also support perspectives.
In the midst of the growing fears of economic contraction and the potential impact on companies linked to Trump’s world financial freedom, the demand for downward protection increased in Bitcoins derivative markets. The bias metric of the BTC options became bassist on Friday and has continued to deteriorate, reflecting greater precaution of investors.
The 30-day Bitcoin Delta Skew (Put-Call) options increased to 12%, its highest level in more than four months. Under neutral conditions, this indicator usually ranges between -6% and +6%, reflecting the balanced pricing options for calls (purchase) and Put (sale). The levels above 10% indicate extreme fear but are rarely supported.
Related: Bitcoin’s liquidity areas swept ‘but the increase in open interest suggests a BTC recovery
On April 7, a peak before 13% of Delta Seshwer occurred, when Bitcoin fell below $ 74,500 for the first time in five months. Investors who accepted the risk saw 40% profits during the following month, since Bitcoin recovered at $ 104,150 for May 8.
There is no evidence that Bitcoin’s Toro race is over. The fear of merchants often exceeds rational expectations. In fact, cryptocurrency could even benefit from possible exits in the stock market, which suggests that current turbulence does not invalidate the long -term upward trend of the market.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The points of view, the thoughts and opinions expressed here are alone of the author and do not necessarily reflect or represent the opinions and opinions of Cointelegraph.
