Flight reservations between Canada and USA. 70%Down, according to the report

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Passenger reserves on flight routes between Canada and the United States “have collapsed”, which fall by more than 70 percent each month until the end of September 2025, according to the new flight data with a vision of the future published by OAG Aviation Worldwide Ltd. (OAG).

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The OAG report said the data for the next season show a “surprising decrease” in total reserves compared to the same point last year. For example, by March 2024 there were 1,218,570 flights reserved for April, while by April 2025, only 295,982 reservations have been recorded this month, a 75.7 percent decrease.

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“This strong fall suggests that travelers are stop making reservations, probably due to continuous uncertainty around the broader commercial dispute,” he said.

The apparent drop in consumer confidence is a concern for all airlines that operate among neighboring countries, especially for such a short period of time, said Oag. This adds to what had already become a market softening in the airline industry.

The report says that customers who still plan to travel can find some airlines that offer particularly cheap rates in the coming months to stimulate demand. However, this will be an anxious period for airlines, especially because the traditional “snow” market from Canada to the United States could be severely affected next year if the situation is not soon improve.

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The scheduled unidirectional seats presented on March 3 and 24, a three -week difference, had more than 320,000 seats removed by airlines Until the end of October.

The maximum summer, July and August, have the most notable cuts, where airlines have reduced capacity by 3.5 percent. Meanwhile, solar destinations such as the Caribbean and Mexico have had an increase in reserves of Canadian travelers.

The airlines had already begun to reduce the capacity between Canada and the United States in anticipation of demand falling. Air Canada began to reduce the capacity of certain leisure destinations, including Florida, Las Vegas and Arizona, in early March.

“The demand for SUN markets continues to exceed our expectations, and the reserve curve has changed to a closer environment,” said the first executive vice president of the airline for the planning of income and networks, Mark Galdo, during the earning call of the fourth quarter of Air Canada on February 14.

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Westjet has also reported a change in travel reserve behavior among Canadians.

“We have observed a change in the US reserves. She said the airline is still focused on knowing where people want to go and will continue to fly where there is demand.

The Flair Airlines Ltd. budget aircraft carriers said it is also monitoring travel trends, including changes in US demand and adjusts its network accordingly. The airline recently canceled its summer flights to Nashville, which attributed to a demand change.

The Tennessee State Tourism Department blamed the commercial war with the United States for cancellations.

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In addition to seeing great interest in the transmission routes to Mexico, Jamaica and the Dominican Republic, Flair Airlines noticed an increase in local demand, restarting and resuming some intercanian routes earlier than planned.

Travelers seeking to escape from the cold Canadian winters generally travel south, many of them to Florida, the nearest sunny refuge and a popular destination for snow birds. In a speech on March 6, the governor of Florida, Ron Desantis, mentioned that of the 142 million visitors to the state last year, 3.3 million from Canada, which characterized as “not much boycott.”

However, these numbers are before the president of the United States, Donald Trump, assumed the position and subsequently began to threaten Canada with tariffs and annexation.

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Porter Airlines, which had previously increased its presence in the United States by approximately 150 percent year after year, said that although it has presented schedules in advance, the carrier is monitoring the reserve patterns and is aware of the general economic situation.

In an email, he said that Canadians continue to travel to the US. Existing American flights are maintained, he said.

A survey conducted by Abacus data from February 20 to 25 said that 56 percent of Canadians who initially planned to visit the US. UU. This year they had canceled or changed their travel plans as tensions between the United States and Canada increased.

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Almost 40 percent of those travelers said they had transferred their plans to other countries or in different places within Canada, while 17 percent had postponed or canceled their trips in the United States completely.

Another survey, conducted by EQ Bank, analyzed how Canadian travelers are administering the weakest Canadian dollar (CAD) against the US dollar (USD), after the signing of President Trump’s executive orders that promulg tariffs on February 1 and its posterior subsequent.

The survey, conducted from February 4 to 6, said that 62 percent of respondents planned to focus more on trips inside Canada in light of currency exchange. Approximately the same percentage said they will travel less to the United States or internationally to manage the impact of a weakest Canadian dollar on their personal finances.

“With continuous tariff developments and constantly evolving trade wars, it is not surprising that Canadians focus on traveling nationwide while renouncing their travel plans to the United States,” he said.

• Email: dpaglinawan@postmedia.com

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