Home Forex Gold Rally Face First Test: Can the handling of $ 3,300 amid geopolitical tension?

Gold Rally Face First Test: Can the handling of $ 3,300 amid geopolitical tension?

by SuperiorInvest

Prices have recovered the handle of $ 3300/OZ, but there are increasing signs of exhaustion, since the precious metal seeks to consolidate profits.

The demonstration has been stimulated by weakness, while Haven’s demand returned during the night as Israel-I will intensified.

Uncertainty of the US Tax Invoice.

The Republicans negotiated during the night on Wednesday by a bill that is expected to include commitments in tax deduction and state and local expenses cuts. The president of the House of Representatives, Johnson, announced this morning that they reached a salt deduction capitalization agreement of $ 40,000. This uncertainty adds to Gold’s appeal yesterday and helped paradise demand.

The demand for renewed refuge is spur in the rally

Israel is preparing a possible strike in Iranian nuclear facilities, several US officials said to CNN in a Tuesday report. The demand for the shelter benefited from night to morning as the concerns increased on a possible broader conflict in the Middle East as a result.

Tensions seem to be on a knife edge after the report, since negotiations between the United States and Israel rumble. The authorities told CNN that it is not yet safe if Israel will decide to act in the last instance in their plans, and added that Israeli leaders are probably observing how the US agreement evolves. Uu. Iran. The National Security Council, the Office of the Israeli Prime Minister and the Israeli Embassy in Washington did not confirm the reports when CNN and Reuters asked them.

If there is tension, gold could continue to support. Any indication that this does not come to fruition could have the opposite impact on gold and see that any secure shelter purchase temporarily stops.

Gold prices continue to be the best caliber for market feeling with precious metal that remains extremely sensitive to any change. This is likely to continue for now as a lot of risks remain, but they are slowly moving towards the bottom.

Lack of US data

The lack of American data is another area where precious metal has benefited, since it has resulted in a weaker US dollar. The last weeks have seen the US dollar receive some support when the data has been positive.

The US data. Last week they actually helped the beautiful metal as growth concerns returned in the foreground. Thai caused the fee conversation once again with the Fed policy formulators that indicate caution, since global growth seems to be threatened.

Technical Analysis – Gold (Xau/USD)

From the point of view of technical analysis, Gold has printed two low four -hour candles. There is also a possible Star Evening sail pattern that suggests below.

However, looking at the candles, the anterior four -hour candle left a massive wick and could not close below the 3300 handle. This is a sign of the purchase pressure still evident in the gold markets.

If the 3300 handle remains firm, a movement beyond the daily maximum in 3320 seems likely.

A four -hour candle near Mango 3300 would be a caution signal for market participants. However, it will not invalidate the upward structure with a four -hour candle near the low of the 3212 swing necessary for such development to occur.

In summary, while the bulls remain in control, there is the possibility of a deeper setback if the handle 3300 yields.

Gold daily graph (Xau/USD), May 21, 2025

Source: TrainingView

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